Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.987284 1.151484 1.328090 1.531420 1.758288 2.002873 2.285715
2025-05-11 0.710038 0.937046 1.204220 1.538133 1.940335 2.405177 2.978784
2025-05-18 0.535535 0.793330 1.122661 1.564736 2.132361 2.826144 3.726626
2025-05-25 0.395833 0.656937 1.017737 1.534929 2.237725 3.139034 4.359366
2025-06-01 0.311560 0.574190 0.963631 1.554558 2.396663 3.519900 5.092937
2025-06-08 0.242905 0.497073 0.900803 1.547152 2.509262 3.838512 5.756116
2025-06-15 0.207211 0.464146 0.896650 1.620121 2.735170 4.318750 6.656112
2025-06-22 0.172744 0.424547 0.873826 1.658266 2.908191 4.729895 7.476390
2025-06-29 0.135616 0.369968 0.815733 1.630501 2.974706 4.986692 8.086105
2025-07-06 0.113220 0.339210 0.793852 1.657934 3.125542 5.370899 8.890915
2025-07-13 0.094076 0.310133 0.769763 1.677128 3.261619 5.736340 9.679769
2025-07-20 0.078851 0.285785 0.750469 1.701328 3.405135 6.117055 10.503013
2025-07-27 0.063326 0.256336 0.717222 1.698591 3.507155 6.445020 11.272067
2025-08-03 0.048451 0.222954 0.669500 1.662700 3.549165 6.680438 11.911309
2025-08-10 0.039093 0.202309 0.646422 1.672136 3.670895 7.049084 12.770629
2025-08-17 0.029329 0.175279 0.602395 1.632685 3.699486 7.264068 13.394143
2025-08-24 0.023787 0.160760 0.586424 1.649740 3.832289 7.656451 14.311119
2025-08-31 0.018453 0.143737 0.560070 1.640442 3.913201 7.962716 15.097737
2025-09-07 0.016384 0.140426 0.571067 1.716111 4.162575 8.567491 16.388916
2025-09-14 0.013717 0.132399 0.566798 1.755697 4.342519 9.057326 17.504280
2025-09-21 0.010182 0.116520 0.535176 1.726529 4.382183 9.300846 18.216859
2025-09-28 0.008309 0.108921 0.527807 1.755155 4.540405 9.760144 19.302886
2025-10-05 0.006647 0.101012 0.517557 1.775196 4.681397 10.192632 20.354553